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Металлургический рынок Украины: тенденции-2011

В текущем году эксперты прогнозируют украинским металлургам увеличение объемов производства, которое составит порядка 6 процентов. При этом не исключена переориентация рынка.

09.02.2011
Версія для друку

В текущем году эксперты прогнозируют украинским металлургам увеличение объемов производства, которое составит порядка 6 процентов. При этом не исключена переориентация рынка.

Анализ рынка свидетельствует, что цены на металлургическую продукцию украинского производства растут медленнее, чем прогнозировали эксперты. По прогнозам Госкомстата Украины, по итогам 2010 году динамика роста должна была составить не менее 5 процентов, но не достигла ожидаемого уровня. Стоимость металлопроката возросла лишь на 3 процента, в то время как в других отраслях народного хозяйства превысила 6-7 процентов.
Минувший год не раз демонстрировал падение цен на металлопрокат на фоне общего подорожания. Тенденция характерна для внутреннего рынка, который, по идее, является основным крупным потребителем металлургического производства. Эксперты единодушны: без развития и стабилизации отечественного потребительского рынка стабильное развитие горнометаллургического производства невозможно, потому что 80 процентов продукции в идеале должно раскупаться украинскими предприятиями. Оставшиеся 20 процентов металлопроката – экспортироваться за пределы страны.
Без государственных программ выхода из кризиса важнейшей для украинской экономики отрасли в данном случае не обойтись. Однако, новости экономики сообщают о том, что государственная программа развития на 2011 год не предусматривает возможности разработки антикризисных мероприятий, позволяющих стабилизовать ситуацию на внутреннем рынке украинской металлургии. Поэтому и в текущем году отечественным металлургам придется решать существующие проблемы самостоятельно.
В частности, крупнейшее металлургическое производство, сосредоточенное в Кривом Роге, с начала текущего года увеличило цены на металлопрокат. Это вынужденный шаг, обусловленный повышением должностных окладов почти на 11,5 процентов. Расходы, связанные с оплатой труда, составляют порядка 7 процентов себестоимости готовой продукции. Так, на сегодняшний день тонна металла уже подорожала на 35 долларов. В течение года, по заявлению пресс-службы меткомбината, цены возрастут ориентировочное еще на 25 процентов. Это произойдет вследствие планируемого с 1 апреля 2011 года подорожания коксующих углей и железной руды. Тенденция будет прослеживаться и на других металлургических производствах Украины.
При этом эксперты считают, что стабилизация мировой экономики и рост цен на металлопрокат благоприятствуют перспективе роста объемов металлургического производства для внешнего рынка в среднем на 6-7 процентов. Что, в свою очередь, делает возможным компенсировать расходы, связанные с потреблением энергоресурсов, за счет оптимальных механизмов формирования цены.

 

Источник:
Новостной портал: Украинский бизнес ресурс

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